4. Insight to Allocation: Towards A New Investment Heuristic
”“For decades, we’ve celebrated incremental breakthroughs in technology, but too often missed the bigger picture. The real challenge—and opportunity—for tomorrow’s innovators is to think in systems, not silos. Only then can we unlock the full potential of technology to solve complex, interconnected problems that drive human progress forward.”
David GannFormer Pro-Vice-Chancellor at the University of Oxford and Professor of Innovation and Entrepreneurship at Said Business School
Theories don’t just describe markets — they shape them. Paraphrasing Milton Friedman, sociologist Donald MacKenzie argued that economic models do not merely capture reality passively (like a camera), but rather they actively shape and influence it (like an engine). Once embedded in mental models, theories become performative: they guide decisions, shape institutional behavior, and reprice risk.5
What begins as intuition or anecdote often matures into codified insight, and once institutionalized, these frameworks become mechanisms that drive markets. The rise of index investing is a case in point. What began as an academic argument for market efficiency has evolved into one of the most powerful forces in capital allocation. ESG followed a similar arc. What began as a narrative about aligning capital with values evolved into regulatory structure. In both cases, ideas became mechanisms – and mechanisms reshaped the market, with different degrees of success.
For capital allocators, the lesson is simple: ideas compound into systems. The mental models gaining traction today shape the return profiles of tomorrow.
4.1. Benevolent Disruption in Action: Public Markets
Benevolent Disruption represents an investment strategy that is already being adopted by a forward-thinking cohort of public fund managers. The market is shifting: what once looked like a moral aspiration — aligning returns with real-world problem-solving — is becoming a source of durable alpha.
This is not a trade-off. Investors no longer have to choose between doing good and doing well. With the right lens, they can do both. In fact, the very conditions that make a company relevant to society often make it resilient to shocks, trusted by stakeholders, and positioned for long-term, compounding value.
Capital allocators who embrace high-conviction, problem-first strategies are seizing early-mover advantage. Two fund managers, Pictet’s Meraj Sepehrnia and Generation Investment Management, offer a window into how portfolio selection is evolving in real-time. Their approaches illustrate how Benevolent Disruption is more than a concept — it’s becoming the next frontier in capital allocation.
Case Study: Meraj Sepehrnia, Former Head of Total Return Sustainability, Pictet Asset Management
”“ESG was a marketing fad but making money never goes out of style. By focusing on sustainability, you create a ‘circle of competence’ — a deep understanding of industries and themes where sustainability drives outsized returns”
Meraj SepehrniaFormer Head of Total Return Sustainability at Pictet Asset Management
Meraj Sepehrnia, Pictet’s former Head of Total Return Sustainability, offers a compelling example of how enabling approaches uncover transformative opportunities: “By focusing on sustainability, you create a ‘circle of competence’ — a deep understanding of industries and themes where sustainability drives outsized returns.”
This approach rejects reliance on ESG ratings, likened by Sepehrnia to credit ratings in fixed income markets: valuable for assessing risks but insufficient as a foundation for investment decisions. He argues that, while a cereal company might score highly on ESG metrics due to governance and regenerative farming practices, it may still produce sugary, unhealthy food for children in plastic packaging, which fails to align with societal wellbeing. Sepehrnia instead identifies businesses that deliver tangible environmental and social benefits, such as frozen food companies using recyclable packaging, which reduce waste by 47% compared to ambient food products. This discretion not only drives returns but also mitigates systemic risks, as seen with anti-sugar regulations and market repricing of unhealthy food producers in 2023 due to the permeation of GLP1s (such as Ozempic), leading to significant stock declines for packaged food companies.
Sepehrnia’s model anticipates these shifts — not by rigid adherence to ESG scores, but by assessing real-world externalities before they disrupted the market. By matching business models to externalities rather than compliance metrics, Sepehrnia demonstrates how Benevolent Disruption is beginning to emerge in practice, not as a moral imperative, but rather as a high-performance investment strategy.
Case Study: Generation Investment Management
”“The most valuable companies of the future will be those that turn today’s externalities into tomorrow’s core business models. Investing in solutions to environmental and social challenges isn’t just responsible — it’s essential for resilient, long-term returns.”
Madeliene EvansDirector, Generation Investment Management
Founded in 2004 by seven partners including former US Vice President Al Gore and former Goldman Sachs Asset Management head David Blood, Generation is a sustainable investment firm that manages almost $40 billion in assets across both public and private markets. Generation’s Private Markets platform (Growth Equity and Private Equity) integrates sustainability research with fundamental investment research and invests with a long-term view, recognising that a business’s ability to contribute to and accelerate sustainability transitions is a source of competitive advantage in the long term.
Both Growth Equity and Private Equity seek to back problem-solving companies with transformative technologies that can address systemic problems affecting multiple stakeholders. Generation’s sustainability expertise and research roadmaps into sectors and trends allow the team to spot underappreciated situations that may not look like typical climate or social impact deals. Examples include Gusto, which supports small business growth and financial inclusion through efficient payroll and benefits infrastructure; WEKA, whose software and data platform for cloud and AI workloads helps reduce the energy use of AI; and ServiceTitan, whose software and fintech platform helps trade contractors reduce fuel use and efficiently deliver climate-friendly renovations. These investments reflect the conviction that real impact is driven by the business model, not marketing.
Generation is one of the closest existing analogues to the Benevolent Disruption approach: deeply research-driven, focused on system-level transitions, and focused on assessing business quality and impact potential instead of surface-level sustainability claims.
4.2. Conclusion: A Call to Arms for Investors
Benevolent Disruption is a challenge to the outdated heuristics that still shape capital allocation. For too long, investors have been forced into a false dichotomy: chase profits at the expense of long-term value or embrace rigid ESG models that underdeliver on both impact and returns. Benevolent Disruption breaks that binary choice. By targeting the 30% of companies driving meaningful, systemic change, this model transcends the old assumptions about profit vs. purpose. This alternative model is a call to arms for investors to recognize that solving big problems isn’t just good ethics, it’s good economics.
In acceptance of the central finding of this paper — that the greatest financial returns come from solving humanity’s most entrenched challenges — the real question is no longer why, but how. How can capital allocators turn this insight into action?
The next step is pragmatic: translating big ideas into objective, repeatable frameworks that discerning fund managers can deploy in practice. Drawing on the four core characteristics arising from the analysis, the following principles are designed to serve as a practical guide for investors to operationalize Benevolent Disruption:
- Evaluate Structure, Not Story:
Move beyond surface-level narratives or ESG checklists. Focusing not on the inputs for decision makers (such as impact frameworks) but outputs (whether a company’s business model creates measurable positive outcomes, directly or indirectly) opens up a new genre of investment opportunities delivering superior returns through solving societies greatest challenges. Adopt flexible heuristics that reveal embedded value, especially in indirect or upstream solutions. Many of the most investable companies won’t fit ESG checklists but will quietly transform systems in ways that create both societal value and investment upside. - Prioritize Multiplier Effects Over Trade-offs: `
Benevolent Disruptors don’t choose between impact and scale; they build models where solving a systemic problem generates cascading, multiplicative benefits. Look for companies whose growth strengthens the systems in which they operate: unlocking new markets, attracting policy alignment, reinforcing supply chains, or catalyzing adjacent innovation. These flywheels effects compound relevance, making the business more resilient, trusted, and hard to displace. - Adopt a Problem-First Mindset:
Shift the focus from technologies seeking markets to problems needing solutions. Focus on businesses anchored to large-scale societal challenges: climate pressure, financial exclusion, public health, security risk, knowledge barriers. Assess whether the business leverages platform technologies to create scalable, system-level solutions. - Back the Early Solvers to Unlock Long-Term Value:
Big problems create enduring markets and companies positioned to solve them early within emerging technological cycles will gain structural advantages as systems evolve. Look for founders working ahead of the curve, tackling climate risk, health gaps, or financial exclusion early, when incentives are weak and capital is scarce. These businesses earn long-term advantage as societal and regulatory pressure catches up.
Benevolent Disruption isn’t a rejection of traditional financial models; it is an evolution of these models. The 20th-century playbook, built on short-term extraction and quarterly thinking, is no longer fit for a world defined by long-term, compounding risk. Capital markets are waking up to a new reality: climate disruption, financial exclusion, and healthcare inefficiencies aren’t just liabilities — they’re trillion-dollar opportunities.
A new era of economic leadership is needed, not led solely by tech giants or regulators, but by capital allocators who understand that solving systemic failures at scale is not idealism but a pathway to superior economic outcomes. The winners will be those who redefine the rules ahead of time, while those who react too late will be left behind. To thrive in the decades ahead, fund managers must not only adapt to a changing world but actively shape it. The future of venture lies at the intersection of financial returns and systemic need, where solving humanity’s greatest challenges unlocks unprecedented economic and societal value. The evidence is clear: Solving Big Problems is Big Business.
5Donald MacKenzie (2008), “An Engine, Not a Camera: How Financial Models Shape Markets”.